Agriculture and Natural Resources
The May Cattle on Feed report was released on May 22nd. The actual values reported will be old news by the time readers have an opportunity to consume this article, which means most in the cattle industry will already be looking forward to the June Cattle on Feed report. However, this article has more of a focus on what the trends are indicating than what the actual values are.
To begin the conversation, 99 percent of the readers are aware the U.S. cattle inventory is at its lowest level in 75 years. The same can be said for the calf crop, which is the value influencing the quantity of cattle available to enter the traditional cattle feeding system. Despite the inventory situation, the cattle feeding industry has changed significantly over that time period. Thus, the comparison of current cattle on feed should be to more recent values.
Based on the May 2026 Cattle on Feed report, there were 11.584 million head of cattle on feed. This compares to 11.376 million on May 1, 2025 and the five-year average of 11.653 million head in May. Though the quantity of cattle on feed is below the five-year average, there is more meat in the feedlot today than the five-year average would indicate, because cattle feeders continue to grow cattle larger by keeping them on feed longer.
A little deeper dive into the quantity of cattle on feed has to include a discussion on marketings and placements. One reason the quantity of cattle on feed is elevated is due to lower marketings. The quantity of cattle marketed in April totaled 1.642 million head compared to 1.825 million head in April 2025 and the five-year April average of 1.770 million head. The slower marketing rate is a point of concern. Packers are not willing to purchase and slaughter as many head of cattle every week, because they are losing large sums of money on each head. The struggle for the packer is the cattle feeder has leverage due to the overall reduced availability of cattle and the packer is unable to push wholesale beef prices higher. Some may say this is pushback from consumers or a chink in the armor of demand in general. A more basic answer may be the market has plenty of cattle available for beef at this price!
Placements is the other factor influencing the strong cattle on feed values. Feedlot placements in April totaled 1.702 million head compared to 1.613 million head in April 2025 and a five-year average for April of 1.697 million head. This means April 2026 is marked as a year with strong placements in the feedlot. Of the cattle placed in April, 575,000 of those animals weighed 700 pounds or less, which is 40,000 more than the previous year for the same weight category. Similarly, 1.127 million head were placed weighing more than 700 pounds, which is 49,000 more head compared to April 2025. When placements exceed marketings in a specific month then it is not difficult to know why cattle on feed increase month-over-month, but it would appear some of the direct reason may be drought induced placements with cattle weighing 700 pounds or less increasing.
Given the most recent cattle on feed numbers, there are plenty of cattle available to fulfill the market demand for beef at the current price of beef. A continuation of the slower marketing rate will keep the quantity of cattle on feed elevated, but all it will take to increase marketings is consumers providing packers an incentive to slaughter more cattle. On the other side of the coin, placements cannot continue to exceed year ago levels inevitably. There will have to be a break in placements if the calf crop is smaller than the previous year and cattle have entered the feedlot earlier than anticipated. A reduction in placements will occur, but the timing is uncertain. When placements slow, cattle prices will hinge on marketings as the rate of marketings will provide an indication of what the consumer demands and the packers willingness to provide it.